Yet another transgender shooter struck. This time at a hockey game in Rhode Island. 

These days, when you hear of a high-profile shooting, it's all too easy to assume that the shooter is associated with alphabet ideology in some way or another. 

— Jerry Dunleavy IV 🇺🇸 (@JerryDunleavy) February 17, 2026

That got me thinking about all the claims about mass shootings, and about whether our association of transgenderism with violence is due to confirmation bias at work, or whether it really IS true that in recent years there has been a huge surge in alphabet violence. I pretty much knew there was, but I only had a vague sense of the scale. 

Things a dude in women’s clothing says online before publicly executing his wife and KIDS. pic.twitter.com/CTGovXeRH8

— Gator Gar (@gatorgar) February 17, 2026

I just had a bit of an argument/discussion with Perplexity, one of the best research AIs out there, about the proportion of mass shooters in recent years who are transgender or trans activists. After a bit of back and forth in which Perplexity admitted to "hand waving" about the proportion of perpetrators who are trans, we settled on a plausible percentage of mass shooters since 2018 who are in that category: about 10%. 

New York Times avoids any mention that the alleged murderer at the Rhode Island hockey rink shooting is transgender.
(5 reporters!)
Gender identity must be relentlessly shoved down the gullet but quickly hidden when linked to any horror exposing the depravity of the crusade. pic.twitter.com/WkuU2Fo640

— Dagen McDowell (@dagenmcdowell) February 17, 2026

There are a lot of numbers floating around about how many people identify as trans, but one I kept running into is about 0.5% of the population, which would mean that trans people commit these acts at a rate about 20 times their proportion in the population. 

Obviously, this is a back-of-the-envelope calculation, not a scientific study, and I wouldn't want to claim that it is definitive. But it gives you a sense of just how disproportionate the rate of violence is among the current generation of transgender-identifying people really is. 

— Oli London (@OliLondonTV) February 17, 2026

First things first: I believe this is a new phenomenon, and not much related to gender dysphoria itself. Instead, I think the shocking and rapid rise in violence among transgender people is caused by a confluence of events that all came together over the past decade or so, while gender dysphoria is a phenomenon that goes back decades, centuries, or millennia, I would assume. I haven't seen any research to indicate that at any other point in history, there was a high correlation between gender confusion and propensity to mass violence. 

In other words, my sense is that the celebration, medicalization, recruitment of mentally ill people into a cult, and the enhanced sense of grievance cultivated among those members have all conspired to create an especially volatile witches' brew that has boiled over in recent years. It's more alphabet ideology itself rather than the underlying mental illness that is at work here, I think. 

— Oli London (@OliLondonTV) February 12, 2026

So how did we come up with this number? I linked above my complete discussion with Perplexity, narrowing the parameters of what we mean by "mass shootings," because the gun control people throw in criminal activity like gang and drive-by shootings, along with school shootings, and the like. In common parlance, we all know what a mass shooting is, and it ain't a drive-by. 

Perplexity tried to insist to me that mass shootings by trans people are a tiny percentage of the overall number, probably because it is programmed to 1) emphasize the use of information sources that throw everything but the kitchen sink into the category (it is, after all, gun control advocates that put out a lot of the numbers); and 2) no AI programmer wants to get into trouble with the left and be accused of a "phobia."

But generally speaking, if you are good at asking questions, calling out inconsistencies in the answers, and drill down, you can still get useful information. So I did. Here's a key part of my conversation:

Always, always, always look out for when AI "hand waves," as Perplexity puts it. AI is programmed to stay away from certain conclusions if it possibly can. Throwing out authoritative-sounding statistics is a great way to create a false sense of accuracy and precision. It's sort of like reading beyond the first few paragraphs of the story when the headline drives a narrative. You may find context 18 paragraphs down that completely upends the narrative, buried where nobody sees it. 

WATCH: Wolf Blitzer gets tripped up when saying the Rhode Island hockey rink shooter was a male. Blitzer seemed to start using female pronouns before catching him. There was no mention that the shooter was trans. pic.twitter.com/DXkzp5vZHK

— Nicholas Fondacaro (@NickFondacaro) February 17, 2026

You can see how Perplexity doesn't want you to believe what is before your eyes—even after it admits that about 10% (and possiby more) of recent mass shootings in public mass shootings are by alphabet people, it races back to the "but really..." hand waving. It still wants me to believe the number is tiny, while its math says about 10%. 

And that's over a period of 8 years. Since the trend seems to be accelerating and nonrandom, it means that our intuition is correct that something really scary is happening in the alphabet community. 

No shock there if you have your eyes open. 

— Andy Ngo (@MrAndyNgo) February 17, 2026

Robert "Roberta" Dorgan shot five people, killing two and critically injuring three others. Four of the five shooting victims are his family members. A woman and a girl are deceased. 

Dorgan was active on social media, where he often targeted me for my reporting. http://ngocomment.com

The alphabet movement has become explicitly violent, using violent symbolism, talking of a genocide aimed at them (ridiculous), and talks of "vengeance." The establishment caters to and encourages a sense of victimhood, and even recruits mentally unstable people into the cult. 

— Billboard Chris 🌎 (@BillboardChris) February 13, 2026

This trans-identified man stabbed his 8-year-old daughter in the throat, severing her esophagus. 

He also stabbed his 7-year-old boy.

His daughter required a feeding tube for months but a judge let him out on bail, pending sentencing.

He is currently roaming the streets of BC and Alberta, living in a minivan with “Every Child Matters” painted on the outside.

It's only going to get worse until it gets better. People steeped in alphabet ideology have been primed to be enraged. They are already suffering from a mental illness, and when you layer on top of that the violent rhetoric, unreasonable sense of fear that is instilled in them (trans "genocide"), and the massive use of mind-altering pharmaceuticals, and this was inevitable. 

— Lakshya Jain (@lxeagle17) February 17, 2026

Yes, we are beating back the ideology over the long haul, but as with the persistence of communist ideology, alphabet ideology is embedded in the left-wing movement, which itself is becoming ever more violent. 

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