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Help find: study on believability based on who is telling a story, or the truth ?

5 months ago 73

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Is this the study?

Speaker trustworthiness: Shall confidence match evidence?
Mélinda Pozzi & Diana Mazzarella

"ABSTRACT Overconfidence is typically damaging to one's reputation as a trustworthy source of information. Previous research shows that the reputational cost associated with conveying a piece of false information is higher for confident than unconfident speakers. When judging speaker trustworthiness, individuals do not exclusively rely on past accuracy but consider the extent to which speakers expressed a degree of confidence that matched the accuracy of their claims (their "confidence- accuracy calibration"). The present study experimentally examines the interplay between confidence, accuracy and a third factor, namely evidence, in the assessment of speaker trustworthiness. Experiment 1 probes the hypothesis that overconfidence does not backfire when a confident but inaccurate claim is justified: the trustworthiness of a confident speaker who turns out to be wrong is restored if the conf idence expressed is based on strong evidence (good conf idence-evidence calibration). Experiment 2 investigates the hypothesis that confidence can backfire if a confident and accurate claim is not justified: the trustworthiness of a confident speaker who turns out to be right is damaged if the confidence expressed is based on weak evidence (bad confidence-evidence calibration). Our results support both hypotheses and thus suggest that "confidence-evidence calibration" plays a crucial role in the assessment of speaker trustworthiness."
Link:
https://philarchive.org/archive/POZSTS-2v3

That certainly fits !
I never read the study I was speaking about. It was just described in an audio book.
Thanks.

You bet. Glad to hear it!

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