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Harry Enten Says Midterms Are Heading Toward ‘Blowout Territory’

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CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten said Sunday that recent polling and data suggest “we are heading towards blowout territory” in the 2026 midterm elections.

“The Enten Scale” host put the likelihood of one party winning the House by a runaway margin at 71%, with the numbers overwhelmingly favoring Democrats.

Republicans have just a 2% chance of blowing out Democrats, according to his analysis.

“What we’re talking about here is that Democrats are really the ones who have the real chance of blowing out the Republicans. A very, very nice 69% chance,” he said.

The possibility of a similarly decisive result in the Senate is even higher, with Enten putting the odds of “one of the two parties” winning “with room to spare” at 81%.

His analysis gives Republicans a 24% shot at winning at least 51 seats, compared with a 57% chance of Democrats securing at least 52.

Enten cautioned, however, that the GOP has a history of being underestimated in polling. He also pointed to Trump’s “atrocious” approval rating as one factor behind the current numbers.

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